Why are some Republican Senators suddenly so opposed to their own Senate Healthcare Reform bill? Follow the money!

Money, that’s it, that’s the reason why a handful, but growing number, of GOP Senators are opposing the Senate’s current R&R effort. (Please forgive me for referring to it as R&R since we know it’s not either.) But the point is, their opposition is not about their concern for the poor or any other human related issues. It’s about the money attached to Medicare Expansion.

The creators of the ACA understood human nature and politicians so they knew that if the ACA could get states hooked on and depentant upon the billions of Federal dollars committed for ACA enrollees created by the Medicare Expansion then those states, or more appropriately those politicians, would be reluctant to give up those dollars. Actually, the ACA proponents knew that Politicians would be unwilling, actually unable, to give up those Federal dollars; as if those dollars were an addiction.

You’ve read in previous Posts how the Medicare Expansion works. It promised states that the Feds would pay 100% of the costs for those enrollees initially then reduce to 90% after a few years. Meaning the states had to come up with no more than 10% to cover the millions of newly enrolled healthy working age citizens getting their health coverage from Medicaid.

You will remember that Medicaid was originally created for the young, the disabled or pregnant citizen and that the Feds matched the state’s spending on a graduated scale based on each state’s average “prosperity rating”. So richer states like California and New York received only a 50% match while poorer states such as Mississippi received up to 75% match. These figures and factors have applied for years and as you can see are much lower than the Federal match for enrollees under the ACA’s Medicare Expansion.

Bottom line is that  which means a “political” problemthe 31 states, that accepted the Medicare Expansion, are hooked on the higher reimbursements from the ACA.

Some GOP Senators from states that excepted (swallowed) the Medicare Expansion pill now are getting pressure from their home states to keep the funding for Medicare Expansion in place. The reason is that to reduce the matching funding would cause these states a budgeting problem.

The current GOP Senate bill retains the concept of Medicare Expansion but starts to reduce the matching % in 2021. Then, by 2024, (6 years from now) the matching % would level off and be the same % as the state’s Federal match for regular Medicaid enrollees. Seems fair doesn’t it but to Governors of those states hooked on the Federal ACA match it creates a budget issue and therefore they have a “political” problem.

For the past 7+ years the GOP used the “Repeal and Replace” mantra as its campaign slogan which worked and added thousands of Republicans to every level of government office from your local representatives in city, county and state positions to Congress and Senators including a bunch of Governor’s seats. So all of a sudden the success of the GOP to unseat Dems from all of these seats has put many Republicans in a position of responsibility over budgets and caused the GOP a political problem. Now it appears that many have forgotten their pledge to Repeal & Replace the ACA which helped get them elected. Funny how quickly some politicians forget their promises, isn’t it?

Make no mistake about the magnitude of this issue. We’re talking about hundreds of billions of dollars that the states will see reduced over the coming few years. Those state politicians will be faced with citizens (voters) that will fear that ( and be told by Dems) that their public subsidy (premium or benefits paid by Government) are being reduced or eliminated. The Governors and Senators of the Expansion states fear the back-lash from those healthy, often young, able-bodied and often working citizens who are currently covered by Medicaid who that their subsidy will be reduced or eliminated.

Do you think the Dems will exaggerate or try to capitalize on this in their campaigns?

So, that’s it! It’s not about a better healthcare reform package or helping the poor or the disabled. It’s about the money, the money to which these Expansion states are now addicted. Of course the cynic in your author assumes that the politicians in those Expansion states are more concerned about their own re-election than on what’s good for America. I pray that I am wrong about this.

As I write this Post we are hearing that the Senate will introduce a new R&R bill this week that will be “better” than the Senate’s current Better Care Reconciliation Act.
I wonder; Better for Whom?

Let me know what you think.
Also let me know what you think would happen if the GOP does nothing about R&R but simply props up the ACA for another year? Let me know.

You know I believe that we are all in this together and by being together we will overcome any obstacles facing us. However, when one sees politicians act or react for their own benefit it makes a person wonder.

Until next week.

Mark Reynolds, RHU
559-250-2000
mark@reynolds.wtf

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